Zonke izinto ezidlulileyo, zangoku kunye nezexesha elizayo kunye neendlela zokuziphatha zingabalelwa kwintsebenziswano "yokubonelela kunye nemfuno" amandla emarike.Xa amandla elinye iqela likhulu kunelinye, ukulungiswa kwexabiso kuya kwenzeka.Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, ukunyuka okuqhubekayo kweentlawulo zaselwandle phakathi kweTshayina, i-United States kunye nombindi weYurophu sisiphumo nje sokukhangela rhoqo ukulingana phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno.Yintoni unobangela wokungalingani phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno?
Okokuqala, ukuchacha okukhawulezileyo koqoqosho lwaseTshayina kukhokelele kwimfuno engxamisekileyo yokwetyisa amandla emveliso yasekhaya.
Nokuba ukonyuka kweendleko okubangelwa kukukhula kothutho elwandle, akunakunqanda indlela yokuthumela ngaphandle kwempahla yaseTshayina.Xa kujongwe izinga lokukhula kwe-3.2% kwikota yesibini yaseTshayina, isantya sokubuya kwemarike yaseTshayina sikhawuleza kakhulu.Sonke siyazi ukuba ishishini lokuvelisa linemveliso, i-inventory kunye nomjikelo wokugaya.Ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuqhubeka komgca wemveliso kunye nekhonkco lonke lokubonelela, nokuba izinga lenzuzo enkulu liphantsi, nokuba kukho ilahleko, ishishini liya kuguqula ngokukhawuleza iimveliso ezigqityiweyo.Kuphela xa iimveliso kunye neemali zihamba kunye sinokunciphisa umngcipheko wokusebenza okucwangcisiweyo okubangelwa ngumjikelo.Mhlawumbi abantu abaninzi abayiqondi loo nto.Ukuba ubeka ivenkile, uya kuqonda ukuba ndithetha ukuthini.Nangona umthengi unciphisa ixabiso ngaphandle kwenzuzo, umthengisi uya kuvuya ukuthengisa iimpahla.Oku kungenxa yokuba kukho ukuhamba kwemali, kuya kubakho amathuba okwenza imali.Nje ukuba ibe luluhlu lweempahla, iya kuphulukana nethuba lokwenza imali kunye nengeniso.Oku kuhambelana nemfuno engxamisekileyo yokwetyisa umthamo wemveliso e-China kweli nqanaba, kwaye unokwamkela ukunyuka okuqhubekayo Esi sizathu esinye.
Okwesibini, idatha yokuthumela ixhasa ukunyuka kweendleko zokuthumela kwiinkampani ezinkulu zokuthutha.
Ndifuna ukukuxelela ukuba nokuba injani na inkampani yokuthumela ngenqanawa okanye inkampani yenqwelomoya, abayi kukutyeshela ukonyusa okanye ukunciphisa imithwalo okanye ukonyusa okanye ukunciphisa umthamo wezothutho.Indlela yexabiso yenkampani yokuthumela kunye nenkampani yokuthumela ixhaswa yisethi yokuqokelela idatha echanekileyo kunye nenkulu, ubungakanani kunye ne-algorithm yokubikezela, kwaye baya kusebenzisa imodeli yemathematika ukubala ixabiso Ukuqhawula ixabiso kunye nomthamo wokuthutha emva kokufutshane. -umda wenzuzo yemarike, kwaye emva koko wenze isigqibo.Ke ngoko, lonke uhlengahlengiso lothutho lwaselwandle esiluvayo lusisiphumo sokubala ngokuchanekileyo.Ngaphezu koko, imithwalo elungelelanisiweyo iya kuxhasa inkampani yokuthumela ukuba izinze izinga lengeniso epheleleyo kwixesha elithile kwixesha elizayo.Ukuba unikezelo lweemarike kunye nedatha yemfuno iyaguquguquka, ibangela utshintsho kwixabiso lenzuzo enkulu, inkampani yokuthumela ngokukhawuleza iya kusebenzisa ukunyuka kwamandla kunye nesixhobo sokunciphisa ukuzinzisa umda wenzuzo kwinqanaba le-forecast. abahlobo abanomdla unokongeza abahlobo bam ukuqhubeka ukuxoxa.
Okwesithathu, lo bhubhani uqinisa ubunzulu bemfazwe yorhwebo, unqanda ukungeniswa nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kumazwe amaninzi, kwaye ukhokelele ekunqongophelweni komthamo wezothutho kunye nokunyuka kwempahla.
Andiyena umcebisi weyelenqe, kodwa ndiya kufumanisa iziphumo ezininzi ezingalindelekanga ngokusekelwe kulwazi olunenjongo.Enyanisweni, ingxaki elula yokubonelela ngeenqanawa kunye nemfuno eneneni isekelwe kwindlela amazwe ajongana ngayo nemeko yobhubhane kwaye afune iziphumo zenguqu yangaphakathi nangaphandle yobuninzi.Ngokomzekelo, i-Indiya yaqala ukuyeka ukufumana iimpahla zaseTshayina kwaye yenza ukuhlolwa kwe-100% yazo zonke iimpahla zaseTshayina, Ngenxa yoko, imithwalo yolwandle esuka e-China ukuya e-Indiya inyuke ngama-475% xa kuthelekiswa nenyanga edlulileyo, kwaye imfuno iyancipha ngokuthe ngqo, nto leyo ekhokelela ekubeni ukuncitshiswa komthamo wokuthuthwa kweenqanawa kunye nokulingana kobonelelo kunye nemfuno.Kuyafana nokunyuka kwamaxabiso othutho kwiindlela zaseSino zase-US.
Ukusuka kuhlalutyo olusisiseko, okwangoku, bobabini umthengisi kunye nomenzi abasakuxhasi ukunyuka okuqhubekayo kothutho elwandle.Uyabona ukuba ukususela ekuqaleni kwekota yesithathu, iinkampani zokuthutha ziye zaqala ukwandisa umthamo wokuthutha, kwaye ke kuqikelelwa ukuba ziya kuqhubeka nokunyuka ukwenzela ukwandisa ingeniso yenzuzo kunye nokunciphisa ilahleko yonyaka, ngelixa ukunciphisa imithwalo kunye nokunyusa imfuno yemarike. ukuqina.Okwesibini, sijonge kubathengi, kwaye ngokubanzi siqala ukukhalaza ukuba imithwalo yaselwandle itye yonke inzuzo yemveliso.Ukuba iqhubela phambili, ezinye zazo aziyi kuba phantsi kwekhonkco lokubonelela kunye noxinzelelo lwenkunzi I-Export Chamber of Commerce iya kumisa ii-odolo kwaye ihoxise kwimarike okwethutyana.Xa imfuno yemarike yamazwe ngamazwe inyuka kwaye ixabiso likhuphuka, kwaye i-profit margin ibonakala kwakhona, imarike ngokusisiseko kwinqanaba lokuqala lokulahlekelwa kwamandla.
Okwangoku, ngenxa yokuba imeko yobhubhani kwamanye amazwe ayikalawuleki kakuhle kwaye neshishini lemveliso alikabuyi, imveliso yaseTshayina neyemveliso isekwinyathelo lokuqala.Ngaphezu koko, ukunyuka kothutho elwandle kuthintele ukukhululwa kweTshayina, kwachaphazela ukusebenza okuqhelekileyo kwemizi-mveliso eyahlukeneyo kunye nengqesho echaphazelekayo.Urhulumente uza kungenelela esebenzisa izixhobo zomgaqo-nkqubo.Kungoku nje, iinkampani ezithumela ngenqanawa, ulungiselelo lwamazwe ngamazwe kunye nabathumeli bothutho bamazwe ngamazwe bazisiwe omnye emva kwenye, benika ingxelo ngezicwangciso zamva nje zokuthumela ngenqanawe kunye nokuguquguquka komthwalo kunye nezizathu.Kuqikelelwa ukuba kuya kubakho utshintsho olubalulekileyo kuthutho lwaselwandle kungekudala.
Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-10-2022